Original articles and notes behind the forecasting system. Daily forecasts are on GoalLab home.
Projects In Development
It's going to be interesting seeing what latent bugs emerge in the world's software systems now coding agents are being so widely adopted — will senior human developers build in the safeguards needed to detect failures that aren't apparent?
2026-07-19
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Forecasting Apps Explained
Why I Track Every Forecast One thing I've noticed while looking around at football prediction websites is that most of them are very happy to show you the wins.
2026-06-18
Forecasting Apps Explained
2026-06-05
Projects In Development
2026-06-04
I will declare it, I've learned a lot building forecasters with coding agents. I've learned so much I think it's time I started sharing some of what I learned, that I wish I knew as a complete beginner.
2026-04-24
Two tools working as one. StatStrike and GoalLab can be used independently, clearly, but they can also be used to inform each other. But before I explain how I do that, a quick overview of the two app's backends.
2026-04-24
The first Over 2.5 algorithm was handwritten like it was 1901. It was actually 2024. I wanted focus, so I wanted pen and paper (initially), then I wanted my laptop (and to be driven half mad learning how to use Apple's Numbers!), much later I would want coding agents...
2026-04-19
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